While a number of U.S. websites and Twitter feeds are unavailable because of the government shutdown, itÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s important to remember that the Atlantic hurricane season is still in progress.
Even more important when you consider that last yearÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s season looked like it was wrapping up when Hurricane Sandy, struck the East Coast October 28-31. Note: Sandy was the third costliest hurricane in U.S. history.
A tweet by FEMA administrator Craig Fugate late Wednesday directed us to the latest Atlantic Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook from the National Hurricane Center (NHC). See graphic below:
According to the NHC, showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure over the northwestern Caribbean Sea have become better organized and the system has a high chance Ã¢â‚¬“ 70 percent Ã¢â‚¬“ of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Over at Wunderblog, Dr. Jeff Masters says of the disturbance:
I give a 30% chance 97L will be Tropical Storm Karen with top winds of 40 – 60 mph at landfall between Louisiana and the Florida Panhandle on Saturday, a 5% chance it will be stronger, and a 65% chance it will be a tropical depression or mere tropical disturbance. Heavy rains of 3 – 6″ can be expected falling the coast from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle on Saturday, even if 97L does not develop into a tropical depression.Ã¢â‚¬
Meanwhile, the NHCÃ‚ hasÃ‚ beenÃ‚ issuing advisories for Tropical Storm Jerry, though at this time it is nearly stationary over the central Atlantic and far from land.