Broker Willis has just published its commercial insurance rate predictions for 2016.
What’s the outlook for insurance buyers?
Overall, the property/casualty insurance market continues to soften and Willis predicts further softening ahead, fueled by relatively benign losses and an oversupply of capacity from traditional and non-traditional sources.
For 2016, 10 lines of insurance–property, casualty, aviation, energy, health care professional, marine, political risks, surety, terrorism and trade credit–are expecting decreases.
In contrast, just five lines of insurance–cyber, employee benefits, errors & omissions (E&O), fidelity and kidnap & ransom–are expecting increases.
The main exception to the overall softening trend is in cyber and E&O insurance, Willis reports, where the growing threat of cyber intrusion and data theft is sending rates upward.
By how much?
For retailers with POS (point-of-sale) exposures and large health care companies, rate increases are up to an eye-opening 150 percent at renewal, with additional increases on excess layers.
In fact most buyers of cyber insurance are seeing primary premium increases of up to 15 percent, Willis says. For smaller organizations (with revenues less than $1 billion) lower premium increases are typical.
What about terms and conditions?
Willis observes that underwriting requirements continue to rise and cyber insurers are also increasing retentions, reducing capacity and exiting certain sectors.
Despite the reduction in capacity by some carriers, available limits in the cyber marketplace are around $350 million to $400 million.
Willis also predicts the marketplace for first-time buyers of cyber insurance (except for POS retailers and large healthcare organizations) will continue with relatively favorable terms, conditions and pricing.
Willis offers this single piece of advice to buyers of cyber insurance:
The I.I.I.’s new paper Cyber Risks: Threat and Opportunities sheds more light on the rapidly evolving market for cyber insurance.