Entries tagged with “Workers Comp”.


I.I.I. chief actuary James Lynch digs into the data in an informative piece on loss trend factors:

Actuaries can be buggy about numbers, to say the least, and my article in this month’s Actuarial Review – a publication of the Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) - looks at a couple of sources of loss trends that can act as useful benchmarks.

One looks at workers compensation medical costs in 25 states. It is produced by the Workers Compensation Research Institute (WCRI), an organization I work closely with in my role as I.I.I. chief actuary.

The other looks at comp loss trends plus those of about a dozen other lines of business and has information going back to the 1930s, if you do a little digging. Older actuaries remember it as the Masterson Index, named after a Stevens Point, Wisconsin, actuary who created it and maintained it until relatively recently. Now Towers Watson actuaries have taken over the calculation.

As a sidebar, I also looked at the way the federal government measures auto inflation, including how it handles the introduction of predictive models and other overhauls to rating plans.

I.I.I. chief actuary James Lynch brings us a grim story on drug abuse and how it affects insurers:

This week Contingencies magazine published my article tracing how America’s latest drug epidemic has affected workers compensation insurance.

The epidemic comes from 20 years of gradually increasing use (and abuse) of opioids, a special class of prescription drugs that mimic many of the effects of heroin. Some you may have heard of, like Vicodin or OxyContin. Prescribed legally but highly addictive, they have become the most commonly abused class of drugs in America.

More people die from drug overdoses in America than from car accidents, and opioids lead the tragic parade. In 2010, for example, 16,652 people died from opioid overdoses, more than from heroin and cocaine combined. Opioids toll has tripled since the late 1990s.

My article shows how the growing epidemic played out in workers comp. Narcotics make up 25 percent of workers comp drug costs, and more than 45 percent of narcotics dollars pay for drugs containing oxycodone, according to the National Council on Compensation Insurance.

Insurers have acted as the crisis emerged, and now they as well as federal, state and local officials may be making headway against the problem.

Last week, after my article went to press, AIG’s new chief executive, Peter Hancock, noted his company had teamed with Johns Hopkins University to study opioid abuse among the company’s 23 million workers compensation claims.

“It is a terrible cost to the industry, a terrible cost to employers, and it’s a terrible cost to society,” Hancock told The Wall Street Journal. AIG has medical professionals working with doctors to find ways to alleviate pain without turning to opioids.

The most recent federal action reclassifies any drug containing the opioid hydrocodone as a Schedule II drug, meaning its prescriptions are more tightly controlled than before.

Unfortunately, these actions may be too late to prevent many opioid addicts from switching to heroin. Opioids tantalize the same brain receptors as heroin, and there are signs that addicts deprived of their Oxys switch.

Earthquake exposure is one of the biggest risks to workers compensation insurers, so it’s interesting to read that the California State Compensation Insurance Fund (SCIF) is once again looking to the capital markets to provide reinsurance protection for workers comp losses resulting from earthquakes.

This is a repeat of the first catastrophe bond sponsored by the SCIF in 2011 – Golden State Re Ltd sized at $200 million — which is due to expire in January 2015.

Artemis blog says:

The unique transaction, which has not been repeated by anyone else until now, links earthquake severity to workers compensation loss amounts demonstrating a new use of the catastrophe bond structure.”

The Golden State Re II catastrophe bond issuance is expected to be sized at $150 million or more, and will cover the SCIF until January 2019.

While the covered area is for earthquakes events across the United States, Artemis notes that as with the 2011 deal as much as 99.99 percent of the SCIF’s insurance portfolio is focused on California, so the risk is primarily focused on California-area earthquakes.

The new deal apparently carries a similar modeled loss trigger to the 2001 transaction, using the exposures of a notional portfolio of workers compensation risks in the SCIF portfolio, earthquake severity factors (ground motion), geographic distribution of the covered portfolio, types of buildings covered, time of day and the day of week an event occurs as some of the weighting factors.

An earthquake has to be magnitude 5.5 or greater to trigger the catastrophe bond, according to Artemis, and losses after an event will be modeled deterministically, so not related to actual injuries and fatalities, using the earthquake event parameters. This will be modeled against the notional portfolio using day/time weighting to determine an index value and notional modeled loss amount.

A 2007 report by EQECAT for the Workers’ Compensation Insurance Rating Bureau of California (WCIRB) estimated California workers compensation insurers would pay annual losses of $180 million caused by earthquakes.

The report suggested that the losses would affect 15.6 million employees working during a major earthquake.

Check out I.I.I. facts and stats on workers compensation insurance.

Construction workers, farmers and landscape workers take note: insect-related deaths are most likely in your line of work.

As reported by The Wall Street Journal’s The Numbers blog, a new report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) finds that insects, arachnids, and mites were involved in 83 fatal occupational injuries from 2003 to 2010.

During the course of the eight-year period, farmers and farm workers (20 fatalities), construction occupations (19 fatalities) and landscaping workers (17 fatalities) accounted for two-thirds of the deaths.

Bees were responsible for 52 workplace deaths – more than spiders, wasps and ants combined (25), The Numbers blog reports.

Most of the deaths (72 of the 83 total) were directly caused by an insect, including cases in which the worker was bitten or stung.

Another 11 deaths were indirectly caused by insects. These include cases where an insect distracted the worker while driving or caused the worker to fall from a height.

Anaphylactic shock, often associated with insect-related injuries, occurred in close to half the deaths, the BLS said.

By state, Texas saw the greatest number (21) of insect-related workplace deaths during the 8-year period, followed by Florida (8).

However, when it comes to non-fatal insect-related workplace injuries and illnesses with days away from work, four states: California, Florida, New York and Texas had more than 250 cases reported in all three years between 2008 and 2010.

As a percentage of all days-away-from-work cases in those large population states, though, insect-related cases were less than 1 percent of the total cases in any year.

Not surprisingly, these incidents tended to occur in the warmer months. Almost 94 percent of the cases occurred between April 1 and October 31. The largest number of deaths (17) occurred in September.

Check out National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) information on workplace safety and insects here.

I.I.I. chief actuary James Lynch brings us an intriguing tale of workers comp and college football:

The most interesting story in workers compensation these days is playing out, quietly, on the sports page. At least the insurance part is quiet.

You’ve doubtless heard that Northwestern University football players were recognized as employees by an arm of the National Labor Relations Board and earned, tentatively, the right to form a union. The news made The New York Times front page, among others, and merited editorials in The Times and The Wall Street Journal.

Less prominent in the stories is what the players want: workers compensation – or at least some system to pay for the injuries they suffer on the field.

The players, petitioning as the College Athletes Players Association (CAPA), aren’t shy about wanting comp-like coverage. Here’s the second paragraph of their petition to the NLRB (pdf):

Faced with the serious risk of concussions and long-term injuries, the Players seek to bargain over health and safety issues like other employees protected by the [National Labor Relations] Act.”

And they make it clear, in the next sentence, that they aren’t out for money, at least not primarily:

CAPA will not jeopardize the Players’ eligibility by bargaining compensation not permitted by National Collegiate Athletic Association rules, but can bargain additional financial support and protections within the existing NCAA rules, and will speak for the Players as the NCAA landscape continues to evolve.”

The seminal takedown of the NCAA is Taylor Branch’s long, long, click-only-if-you’re-stranded-at-O’Hare opus in The Atlantic magazine’s September 2011 issue. In Branch’s telling (scroll down – wayyyy down – to ‘The Myth of the Student-Athlete’) it was precisely because the NCAA feared workers comp that it fought against classifying athletes as employees. The term student-athlete, he writes, was invented in the 1950s after a widow filed for a workers comp death benefit after her husband died from a head injury he got playing football.

Northwestern is appealing last week’s ruling. If the union gets what it wants, it will likely mean the players could be covered under Illinois’ Workers Compensation Act, like other Northwestern employees.

Northwestern is a private university. Public universities – being state entities – don’t always fall under a state’s workers comp laws. Take, for example, the University of Alabama, a powerhouse program I happened to Google. Its employees are covered by The University of Alabama On-the-Job Injury/Illness program – not part of the workers comp system, but governed by similar principles.

The most interesting what-if discussion I’ve seen on the topic comes from – where else? – Bleacher Report.

(Full disclosure: I used to live about 50 yards from Ryan Field, where Northwestern plays. Talk about noisy neighbors.)

I.I.I. chief actuary James Lynch brings us a timely post on one of the most important female contributors to the history of property/casualty insurance:

Constituting nearly 60 percent of the insurance work force in the United States, women are clearly important to the insurance industry.

March is Women’s History Month and this is the perfect time to honor the importance of women in the industry. Our earlier post on this topic can be read here.

The Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) plays its part, in an indirect way. This month’s Actuarial Review, as part of the organization’s centennial, touches on one of the most important female contributors to the history of property/casualty insurance.

The woman is Crystal Eastman (pictured).

Eastman wasn’t an actuary, and to my knowledge she never worked in insurance. She was a lawyer, a radical in her day, and one of her causes was workers’ rights. Her 1910 publication, Work-accidents and the law, detailed worker injuries in 1907 and 1908 in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania, and the economic toll those injuries took.

In those 12 months, 529 workers died from job-related maladies (see table). Eastman led a team that investigated every death, plus another 509 workers hospitalized between April and June 1908.

About one third of the accidents were unavoidable, the study found, while one third were the fault of the workers themselves and another third resulted from employers failing to provide a safe workplace. The financial burden of the accidents, though, fell overwhelmingly on the victims and their families. They lacked the resources to sue, and common law at the time was stacked against them anyhow.

The solution: workers compensation – insurance covering worker injuries without regard to fault. But early workers comp laws were ruled unconstitutional, typically because they took from employers their right to due process – their day in court. New York’s law, for example, was found unconstitutional on March 24, 1911.

The next day, 146 workers – 123 of them women – died in the Triangle Shirtwaist factory fire. The tragedy led to a state commission, headed by Frances Perkins – later the first female Cabinet member – that documented dismal and dangerous working conditions across the state. The result: a workers comp law that passed constitutional muster.

The law addressed the workers problems – now they could be compensated for their injuries. It created an insurance problem: without a court to adjudicate, how does one set a fair compensation for an injury?

It was for this task that, in 1914, the Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) was created. So it is not much of a stretch to say that women, both famous and not so famous, are at the fountainhead of the organization.

Check out I.I.I. facts and statistics on workers compensation here and on careers and employment here.

I.I.I. chief actuary James Lynch reports from Day 2 of the WCRI annual conference in Boston:

Health insurance and workers compensation are sort of kissin’ cousins, in that changes that affect one inevitably affect the other.

But that’s my metaphor. Dr. Richard Victor, executive director of the Workers Compensation Research Institute (WCRI), likens the impact of health care reform to a hurricane.

Like a storm whose path is not quite defined, health care reform could take a significant toll – but we don’t know precisely where. Since workers comp differs from state to state, the impact of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) will differ from state to state. Like a good weatherman, Dr. Victor told an audience of about 400 at WCRI’s annual conference in Boston on Thursday he could make some educated guesses what might happen.

He is assuming the ACA is enacted exactly as written – a tough assumption but as good a starting point as any. In that case, the increase in insured Americans will increase demand.

The marketplace might decrease the use of doctors, relying instead on well-trained nurses or even sophisticated computers to help provide care.

Or doctors might raise prices in the face of rising demand.

What actually happens will differ by state. Some states make it difficult to take diagnosis and treatment out of the doctors’ hands. In those states, medical costs – and their kissin’ cousin, comp costs — are likely to rise. Elsewhere, the effect will be muted.

Other insights:

● Health care reform will result in a healthier work population. This will tend to help the comp system, because healthy workers are less likely to get hurt on the job, and if they do get hurt, they get well faster.

● Changes in billing, Dr. Victor said, will “absolutely” lead to upcoding – in which a doctor exaggerates the severity of a treatment to receive a bigger reimbursement. The practice is well-documented in workers comp, he said, citing examples from Florida and California.

● Changes are likely to shift into workers compensation. That’s because many employers are increasing deductibles that employees pay for treatment. Workers comp, meanwhile, has no deductibles and no co-pays – giving an employee the incentive to label an injury as work-related.

I blogged about Day 1 of the conference here. Other highlights from Day 2:

● Alex Swedlow, president of the California Workers Compensation Institute (CWCI) noted that even after all appeals are exhausted only about five percent of denials of comp claims are overturned. Swedlow also said evidence-based pain management guidelines effectively control costs; and a comparison of California and Washington pharmaceutical costs show that more cost savings are possible.

● Harry Shuford, chief economist of the National Council on Compensation Insurance (NCCI), argued that underwriting cycles are closely linked to bond yields and that when it comes to managing their business, insurers in the long run “do a much better job than other financial intermediaries” like banks.

Workers compensation insurance will have to move quickly to keep from being a net loser from health care reform, said Dr. Jonathan Gruber, one of the architects of what ultimately became the template for the Affordable Care Act (ACA).

Dr. Gruber, an MIT economist who helped construct the Massachusetts health reform that the ACA modeled, spoke to more than 400 attendees at the Workers Compensation Research Institute (WCRI) conference in Boston.

Health care reform should help the workers compensation system, he said. Fewer workers will be uninsured, so fewer people will get injured over the weekend and then claim on Monday they got hurt at work.

But Dr. Gruber, an MIT economist, noted that the comp system is incredibly inefficient. It pays higher rates for services than most health plans. And it changes slowly, which could be a big disadvantage as the ACA forces efficiency on the other parts of the health care system – hospitals, doctors and health insurers. If the comp system can’t keep up, the rest of the system will find ways to dump costs on it.

Dr. Gruber said it will be three years before we can tell whether ACA has been successful. At this point – in ACA’s early days, its proponents and opponents are “saying too much.”

Gruber also gave a nod to researchers like those at WCRI. With ACA’s many moving parts, he said, it will be important to intelligently determine which of those parts are truly working.

Day One of the WCRI conference also featured two examinations of how changes in state comp laws play out.

The first showed how Texas successfully reduced the rate of claims through changes enacted in 2002, 2003 and 2005. The changes brought individual claims under greater scrutiny.

The good news: the rate of claims in Texas lagged those of 15 states studied, said WCRI senior analyst Carol Telles. The rate of claims from chiropractors fell more sharply than other professional services, though Texans continue to use chiropractors more than the other states.

Costs per claim, though, increased, in part because the changes aren’t free. It costs money to review claims. Any changes to a workers comp system must consider whether savings will be able to justify those costs.

The second study showed how Illinois took a more blunt approach in 2006. It cut fee schedules 30 percent across the board. One interesting result, said senior public policy analyst Rebecca Yang: costs per claim fell, as you might expect, but only by 24 percent overall.

Among the reasons: the rate of claims increased, and there were signs that doctors were billing for more complex office visits than before.

Day Two of the conference will take a longer look at the impact of ACA on workers comp. Other sessions will look at how the economy drives workers comp results; accountable care organizations; and medical dispute resolution.

With the Affordable Care Act (ACA) at center stage, interest is high in this week’s workers compensation conference in Boston, Massachusetts.

We read a lot about how ACA is changing health insurance and the world of business, but an effect of less renown is how the health law will affect workers compensation insurance.

Check out previous T+C posts on this topic here and here.

The conference, sponsored by the Workers Compensation Research Institute (WCRI), will feature health care experts like economist Jonathan Gruber, an MIT professor and one of the architects of the ACA, teasing out how health care and workers comp will intertwine in the coming years.

More than a dozen media organizations are scheduled to attend, from industry blogs to national media. I.I.I. will be there, too, with chief actuary James Lynch reporting and tossing off the occasional tweet @III_Research under the hashtag #WCRI.

WCRI is an independent, not-for-profit research organization that provides high-quality, objective information about public policy issues involving workers compensation systems. The conference is March 12 and 13, with details here.

A roundup of I.I.I. workers comp work can be found here.

The workers compensation insurance market showed some signs of recovery in 2012, according to the annual “State of the Line” report from NCCI.

Among the positives, the combined ratio for workers compensation improved for the first time since 2006, premium grew for the second consecutive year, and clam frequency declined significantly for the first time since 2009.

The workers compensation calendar combined ratio was 109 in 2012, a six-point decrease from 2011. While a 109 combined ratio is far from satisfactory, the decline is welcome, NCCI said.

The accident year combined ratio also experienced a six-point improvement, declining to 108 in 2012, following 114 in 2011.

Net written premium (including state funds) also increased by 9 percent to $39.63 billion in 2012, after an 8 percent increase in 2011 – a welcome shift following the cumulative 27 percent decline in premium from 2006-2010.

In other good news, lost-time claim frequency improved significantly in 2012 – down 5 percent on average in NCCI states. This is slightly larger than NCCI’s long-term annual estimate of a 2-4 percent decline per year.

NCCI president and CEO Steve Klingel noted that while the positives are beginning to outweigh the negatives, there remains great opportunity for improvement:

Our optimism is tempered by knowing that external forces such as the economy, healthcare reform, and new legislation may still negatively affect the market. But for now, we view the overall industry condition as encouraging.”

Check out Insurance Journal for more on this story.

I.I.I. facts and statistics on workers comp are available here.