Ample capacity and continued competition are expected to continue to put near term downward pressure on insurance rates in major classes of commercial property/casualty business, according to Marsh.
However, industry developments including recent earnings announcements, senior management changes and re-underwriting at several companies bear watching, said Marsh in its just-released U.S. Insurance Market Report.
Marsh’s analysis put average rate decreases in the fourth quarter of 2015 at between 5 percent and 10 percent for non-catastrophe exposed risks and by between 5 percent and 15 percent for moderately catastrophe-exposed risks.
Likewise, U.S. public company directors and officers (D&O) insurance rates were on average flat to down 10 percent in the fourth quarter, while U.S. commercial general liability rates on average renewed at between 10 percent rate decreases and 5 percent increases.
Amid the rate decreases across most classes of business, cyber insurance bucked the trend.
Typical cyber rate increases in the first half of 2015 were 10 percent to 15 percent over the prior year.
However, the retail and healthcare sectors, which have seen some of the costliest data breach events, saw increases ranging from 45 percent to 55 percent and 15 percent to 25 percent, respectively.
Marsh noted that demand for cyber insurance rose in 2015–a trend expected to continue in 2016.
Despite the overall pattern of soft pricing, amid ample capacity, competition and relatively low catastrophe losses, Robert Bentley, president of Marsh’s U.S. and Canada division warned that now is not the time to be complacent:
More information on the cyber insurance market can be found in the Insurance Information Institute white paper Cyber Risks: Threat and Opportunities.