Word on the street is that immeasurable risks are the biggest threat to the industry, according to a poll of executives at this week’sÃ‚ International Insurance Society (IIS) annualÃ‚ seminar in Berlin. Some 41 percent of attendees identified immeasurable risks as the biggest concern. Next up was inadequate human capital with 27 percent citing it as the biggest threat. New market opportunities were the top issue for 24 percent, while 21 percent cited competitive pricing and adequate profitability. Regulation challenges were identified as the biggest threat by 20 percent of those polled. The results are interesting given a recent survey of international risk managers by the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) (see May 3 posting). After climate change, respondents cited least confidence in how their organizations were handling terrorism risk and human capital risks. It strikes us that terrorism risk is a good example of an immeasurable risk, and human capital risks are clearly an ongoing concern for both insurers and their clients. How do we address these concerns going forward? What are your thoughts?Ã‚ For more on international insurance,Ã‚ check outÃ‚ theÃ‚ I.I.I.Ã¢â‚¬â„¢s updated International Insurance Fact Book online.
California is the second leading state for earthquakes, with an average of over 160 earthquakes per year. The majority of the most costly earthquakes in U.S. history occurred in California. So a new study indicating that recent reforms to the stateÃ¢â‚¬â„¢sÃ‚ workers compÃ‚ system would result in a substantial drop in the potential WC losses arising from earthquakes is welcome news. Based on the assumption of 15.6 million employees working statewide, the WorkersÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ Comp Insurance Rating Bureau of California study found that the expected annual loss for the stateÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s WC insurers would be slightly over $180 million, or $11.56 per employee, compared with $418.7 million, or $26.93 per employee, in a similar 2002 study. The updated study also projects the total statewide WC loss in a one-in-100 year quake would be $4.2 billion, and $6.3 billion for a one-in-200 year event. Looking at the 20 counties with the greatest exposure, the study puts Los Angeles County at the top of the list, with 4.25 million employees. While the drop in costs is a positive development, we note that WC is a compulsoryÃ‚ coverage for most businessesÃ‚ in CA and that earthquake exposure continues to be significant. Check out I.I.I. earthquake facts & stats, workers comp infoÃ‚ and how insurers support the CA economy online. Further info is also available from the Insurance Information Network of CaliforniaÃ‚ (IINC).Ã‚
Legislative solutions to extend the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) will be the focus of a hearing scheduled this Thursday before the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Capital Markets, Insurance and Government Sponsored Enterprises. As with many issues in our industry, there are different viewpoints on what any extension legislation should look like. While there is general agreement a continuing federal role is key to ensuring that terrorism risk insurance remains available to those businesses that want and need the coverage, the devilÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s in the detail. Key points under discussion right now include: the length of any proposed TRIA extension; trigger/deductible levels and potential extension of coverage under TRIA to include domestic acts, group life losses and chemical, nuclear, biological and radiological (CNBR). Check out I.I.I.Ã¢â‚¬â„¢s additional information on terrorism risk online.Ã‚
Since we blogged a few days ago about terrorism insurance take-up rising in the U.S. two further reports have been published confirming the trend of improving availability and affordability of coverage under the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA). First, a RAND Corp study finds that TRIA effects are most positive for a conventional attack, with expected costs to taxpayers in this scenario lower with TRIA than without. Then a study from Guy Carpenter points to an emerging global aviation market issue Ã¢â‚¬“ whether losses to aircraft hulls, passengers and third parties arising from weapons of mass destruction (WMD) should be government risks or commercial market risks. As airlines are required to have passenger and third-party liability insurance cover to receive landing rights, the cancellation of coverage could threaten to bring about a complete shutdown of the aviation industry. While the U.S. government currently provides U.S. air carriers with passenger and crew liability, hull war risk and third-party liability cover, the report notes that since 2002 most other government schemes have been withdrawn and replaced by commercial cover. I.I.I. has further aviation information available online.Ã‚ Ã‚
As debate continues on the renewal of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) beyond 2007, latest industry stats again support the programÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s success. A new report from Marsh shows that U.S. businesses are buying more terrorism insurance than ever, in spite of the increasing cost of coverage. Take-up rates for the coverage have climbed steadily, from 27 percent of U.S. businesses in 2003, to 59 percent at the end of 2006. Almost two-thirds of large U.S. firms and 60 percent of mid-sized firms bought the coverage in 2006, up slightly from 2005. The median terrorism insurance rate was $47 per million of total insured value in 2006, a 9 percent increase on 2005. Financial institutions were the biggest buyers of terrorism insurance (81 percent), followed by real estate and utility firms (77 percent) and educational institutions and health care (76 percent). In terms of region, the Northeast still had the highest take up rate for coverage (66 percent), followed closely by the Midwest (63 percent). Check out further I.I.I. terrorism risk information online.
A hearing down on Capitol Hill today titled Ã¢â‚¬Å“Liability Reform and Small BusinessÃ¢â‚¬ highlights the growing litigation risk faced by small businesses and the need for good liability risk management and adequate insurance. The hearing before the House Small Business Committee includes testimony from the president of the U.S. Chamber Institute for Legal Reform (ILR). The ILR has just released two studies showing the impact lawsuits can have on small businesses. According to the studies, the tort system in the U.S. cost small businesses $98 billion in 2005. The threat of lawsuits also alters the way small business owners make decisions, with 62 percent saying they make business decisions to avoid lawsuits. These decisions can have significant effects on the business, such as making products and services more expensive, or making a product or service unavailable to customers. For more information on insurance and risk management for businesses, check out I.I.I.Ã¢â‚¬â„¢s new insuring your business website.Ã‚
While weÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ve purposely stayed away from the topic of gun liability or risk management lessons to be learned from last monthÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s shootings at Virginia Tech, an article in the Chicago Sun-Times detailing how a father obtained a gun license for his 10-month-old son forces us to visit this contentious issue. According to the May 13 article, the infantÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s father applied on his behalf for the license after his grandfather bought him a shotgun as an heirloom. The application for the license was approved on the third go, after being turned down twice due to technicalities. While the father fully expected the application for the license to be rejected due to his sonÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s age, it appears that in the state of Illinois there are no age restrictions on issuing a firearms ownerÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s identification card (FOID). At risk of stating the obvious, we note that 16 remains the age at which a teen, subject to successful completion of driver education, can apply for a driverÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s license in Illinois.Ã‚ AsÃ‚ many states have legislation in place that restricts or prevents lawsuits against the gun industry, the question is should we be concerned? Following the Virginia Tech tragedy and given the lawsuits targeting Ã¢â‚¬Å“Big TobaccoÃ¢â‚¬ , and more recent suits against the alcohol industry and fast food industry, could we be looking at a potential rise in claims under liability coverages? What are your thoughts? Check out further I.I.I. info on the liability system.
As British Prime Minister Tony Blair announces his resignation and with U.S. President George BushÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s tenure soon coming to a close, today we turn to two reports that speak to the growing risks from political violence and terrorism. First, a RAND study finds that technology and knowledge-sharing among diverse terrorist groups is on the up and part of the complex threat posed by terrorism. Given concern about terrorist interest in unconventional weapons, individuals with skills involving chemical, biological, nuclear or radiological (CBNR) technology are frequently a central focus of analysts. But, the RAND study shows the importance of individuals with expertise in conventional explosive technologies as well. Threat assessments should monitor both these areas, it says. Then a report in from LloydÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s and the Economist Intelligence Unit finds that despite growing awareness of terrorism and political risks, nearly one in four businesses do not have a business continuity plan in place. A further 14 percent of companies believe that their plan is insufficient in the light of political violence. These figures are even greater for smaller firms. Check out I.I.I.Ã¢â‚¬â„¢s information on terrorism risk and risk management for small businesses online.Ã‚
The 45th annual Risk and Insurance Management Society (RIMS) conference opens in New Orleans this weekend so itÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s no surprise that a rash of risk management surveys are being released this week. Two of the highlights are from leading brokers Marsh and Aon. A study by Marsh reveals that the majority of national oil companies do not fully understand the emerging risks they face and how to manage them. Among the top five risks identified by the oil companies one in particular stands out: environmental impact of operations. At last it appears the climate change issue is on the radar screen. Meanwhile, AonÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s first Global Risk Management Survey reveals that damage to reputation is the number one risk faced by multinationals today. Business interruption is cited as the second key risk, with 30 percent of survey respondentsÃ‚ reporting they are unprepared. Third party liability risk comes in at number three, as the U.S. compensation culture spreads. For more information on insurance and risk management for businesses, check out I.I.I.Ã¢â‚¬â„¢s insuring your business website.Ã‚
Policy options for extending the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) beyond the end of 2007 will be the subject of debate at a hearing before the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Capital Markets, Insurance and Government Sponsored Enterprises scheduled for next Tuesday. WeÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ve said it before, and weÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ll say it again, but a continuing federal role is key to ensuring that terrorism risk insurance remains available to those businesses that want and need the coverage. A study by the American Academy of Actuaries notes that incidents involving chemical, nuclear, biological and radiological (CNBR) incidents in four U.S. cities could result in insured losses in the hundreds of billions of dollars. For example, in New York, a large CNBR event could cost as much as $778.1 billion, with insured losses for commercial property at $158.3 billion and for workers compensation at $483.7 billion. I.I.I. has additional information on terrorism risk online.Ã‚