The Affordable Care Act (ACA) will have both potential positive and negative effects on the property/casualty insurance industry, according to a recently published paper by Travelers.
In the paper, Travelers notes that medical trends impact workers compensation, general liability, and auto insurance costs, which make up about 5 percent of health care revenue.
Key ACA components expected to affect the P/C industry are:
— Extended healthcare coverage Ã¢â‚¬“ a 15 percent increase in demand for a fixed supply of healthcare services
— Black lung presumptions Ã¢â‚¬“ any miner (or surviving spouse) with 15 or more years of underground coal mine employment and a totally disabling respiratory or pulmonary impairment is presumed to be disabled due to pneumoconiosis and eligible for Black Lung benefits.
— Pharmacy and durable medical equipment (DME) taxes and assessments Ã¢â‚¬“ the potential to increase costs 1.5 percent and 2.3 percent, respectively.
— Medical data Ã¢â‚¬“ enhanced electronic record-keeping and sharing of data among providers.
Some of the potential positive effects of the ACA on P/C insurers include increased wellness Ã¢â‚¬“ a healthier and better conditioned population Ã¢â‚¬“ and a decreased incentive to file questionable P/C claims, Travelers says.
However, on the negative side, the ACA could result in decreased access to care, increasing indemnity costs as prompt access to physicians is reduced and return to work is delayed, the paper notes.
Travelers also cautions that there could be increased cost shifting from Medicare to P/C payers by physicians and hospitals due to declining Medicare reimbursement rates.
Hat tip to Claims Journal for its report on P/C insurer impacts of the ACA here.