Hurricane Season Update

As Hawaii prepares for the approach of Hurricane Felicia, the sixth named storm of the Eastern Pacific hurricane season (Note: Eastern Pacific hurricanes rarely hit the U.S.), forecasters this week downgraded their forecasts for Atlantic hurricane season activity. Not that this is a guarantee of quiet times ahead. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) warned the public not to let its guard down, even as it changed its Atlantic  hurricane outlook to an increased probability of a below-normal season and an expectation of fewer named storms and hurricanes. NOAA forecasters say there is now a 70 percent chance of seven to 11 named storms, of which three to six could become hurricanes, including one to two major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher). Meanwhile, Colorado State University’s Tropical Meteorology Project team has also downgraded its forecast and said the probability of a major hurricane making landfall along the U.S. coastline this year is 46 percent, compared with the last-century average of 52 percent. The team now predicts there will be 10 named storms, of which four will become hurricanes, including two major hurricanes. Check out I.I.I. hurricane facts and stats.

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