Tropical Cyclone Watch

We’re nearly four weeks into the Atlantic hurricane season but so far the only storm activity has been in the Eastern Pacific where two hurricanes – Hurricane Celia (now Category 4) and Hurricane Darby (now Category 3) – have formed and continue to track out at sea away from land.

The Eastern Pacific hurricane season begins May 15 – a little earlier than the Atlantic hurricane season – and also ends November 30.

However, the Atlantic season may be about to kick into gear as the National Hurricane Center (NHC) this morning said there is a 70 percent chance that a low pressure system centered between the northeast coast of Honduras and Grand Cayman could become a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

An air force reconnaissance plane is scheduled to investigate the disturbance later today to determine if a tropical cyclone has formed. The NHC reports:

Shower activity has become a little more concentrated this morning†¦and surface pressures are falling. Upper-level winds are gradually becoming more conducive for development†¦and the system is likely to become a tropical depression before it reaches the Yucatan Peninsula in a couple of days.”

Now could be a good time to check out I.I.I. resources such as our hurricane fact files and market share by state and our facts and stats on hurricanes.

Meanwhile, here’s a close-up of that Atlantic low pressure system, via satellite from the NHC:


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