Facts + Statistics: Man-made disasters

 
Man-made disasters

In 2016 there were 327 disaster events, of which 191 were natural disasters and 136 man-made disasters, according to Swiss Re.  Natural catastrophes accounted for $46 billion in insured losses, while man-made disasters resulted in additional losses of about $8 billion. Major man-made catastrophes in 2016 included fires and explosions, maritime, aviation and rail disasters, and terrorism and social unrest.  Turret failure in a floating storage and offloading vessel in Ghana and steam generator failure at a French nuclear power plant were the worst man-made disasters in 2016, both making the top 20 for losses, but Swiss Re did not release the loss value. Three incidents involving migrant boats capsizing claimed 776 lives. These incidents and a church roof collapse in Nigeria that caused 160 deaths were the deadliest man-made disasters in 2016. The September 11 terrorist attack in the U.S. was the costliest man-made disaster in history, based on Swiss Re data going back to 1970. It caused $25.1 billion in insured losses (in 2015 dollars).

 
Transportation accidents

There were 58 catastrophic disasters attributed to transportation incidents in 2016 according to Swiss Re, including 36 maritime disasters, 11 aviation disasters and 11 rail disasters. These events resulted in 2,298 deaths worldwide. Maritime disasters caused $2.5 billion in insured losses while aviation disasters caused another $248 million in insured losses. Losses for rail disasters resulted in another $87 million in insured losses. See Swiss Re chart on Man-Made Disasters below for further information.

 

 
Man-Made Disasters In 2016

  Number of incidents Deaths Insured loss ($ millions)
All man-made disasters (1) 136 4,014 $7,797
       
Major fires, explosions 47 766 $4,643
Industry, warehouses 17 84 2,027
Oil, gas 13 136 1,921
Other buildings 11 387 0
Other fires, explosions 5 159 617
Department stores 1 0 78
Maritime disasters  36 1,596 $2,463
Passenger ships 19 1,530 0
Drilling platforms 9 0 1,944
Tankers 5 66 98
Other maritime accidents 3 0 420
Aviation disasters 11 384 $248
Crashes 7 383 117
Space 2 0 41
Damage on ground  2 1 90
Rail disasters (includes cableways) 11 318 $87
Mining accidents 8 166 $184
Collapse of buildings, bridges 3 100 $0
Miscellaneous 20 684 $173
Terrorism 15 601 173
Social unrest 1 0 0
Other miscellaneous losses 4 83 0

(1) Based on events classified by Swiss Re as a catastrophe. The threshold is $19.9 million in insured losses for maritime disasters, $39.8 million for aviation disasters and $49.5 million for other losses or at least 20 dead or missing, 50 injured or 2,000 made homeless.

NA=Data not available.

Source: Swiss Re, sigma, 2/2017.

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World aviation accidents

In 2015 more than 3.5 billion people flew safely on 37.6 million flights, according to the International Air Transport Association. The global accident rate (as measured by the rate of hull losses on Western-built jets) was 0.32 in 2015, or about one major accident for every 3.1 million flights. This compares with an accident rate of 0.27 in 2014. A hull loss is an accident in which the aircraft is destroyed or substantially damaged and is not subsequently repaired. There were 68 accidents in 2015 (on Eastern- and Western-built aircraft), down from 77 in 2014. The Germanwings 9525 and Metrojet 9268 losses that resulted in the deaths of 374 passengers and crew are not included in the statistics because they were caused by deliberate acts of unlawful interference, namely pilot suicide and suspected terrorism.

The deadliest world aviation accident was the collision of two Boeing 747 passenger planes on the runway of an airport in the Spanish island of Tenerife in 1977. The crash resulted in the deaths of 583 out of 644 passengers according to the Geneva-based Aircraft Crashes Record Office’s list of Worst Aviation Accidents.

 
United States

In the United States the National Transportation Safety Board compiles data on aviation flight hours, accidents and fatalities for commercial and general aviation.

Commercial airlines are divided into two categories according to the type of aircraft used: aircraft with 10 or more seats and aircraft with fewer than 10 seats. The nonscheduled commercial aircraft with more than 10 seats are also called charter airlines. Commercial airlines flying aircraft with fewer than 10 seats include commuter (scheduled) airlines, and on-demand air taxis. General aviation includes all U.S. noncommercial or privately owned aircraft.

In fiscal year 2015 about 786 million people flew on commercial airlines in the United States, up 4.0 percent from 2014. The Federal Aviation Administration projects that more than 1 billion people will fly on scheduled commercial airlines in the United States annually by 2031.

 
Aircraft Accidents In The United States, 2015 (1)

 

    Number of accidents    
  Flight hours
(000)
Total Fatal Number of
fatalities (2)
Accidents per
100,000 flight hours
Commercial airlines          
     10 or more seats          
          Scheduled 17,435 27 0 0 0.155
          Nonscheduled 385 1 0 0 0.260
     Less than 10 seats          
          Commuter 343 5 1 1 1.458
          On-demand 3,566 38 7 27 1.066
General aviation 20,576 1,209 229 376 5.851
Total civil aviation NA 1,280 237 404 NA

(1) Preliminary data. Totals do not add because of collisions involving aircraft in different categories.
(2) Includes nonpassenger deaths.

NA=Data not available.

Source: National Transportation Safety Board.

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  • There were 1,280 civil aviation accidents in 2015, down from 1,291 in 2014. Total fatalities fell to 404 from 444.
  • There were no fatalities on large scheduled commercial airlines in 2015 for teh sixth consecutive year.
  • Small commuter airlines had five accidents 2015.
  • The number of small on-demand airline (air taxi) accidents grew to 38 in 2015 from 35 in 2014.

 
Marine accidents

Marine accidents killed 1,596 people and caused $2.5 billion in insured losses in 2016. In 2016, three maritime disasters made the top ten disasters of 2016 in terms of victims. In March, two boats carrying migrants capsized, one in Greece (Mediterranean Sea) resulting in 358 deaths and one in Libyan Arab Jamahiriya causing 240 deaths. In addition, in September a boat carrying migrants capsized in Egypt, killing  178 people. In 2012, 30 people were killed when the Costa Concordia cruise ship carrying 4,200 passengers went aground off the coast of Italy. The Costa Concordia incident was the costliest man-made disaster in 2012, causing $515 million in insured damages losses when it occurred. By mid-2014, insured losses for the disaster had risen to about $2 billion. The greatest maritime disaster in peacetime happened in December 1987, when the Philippine ferry, the Doa Paz, collided with the Vector, a small coastal oil tanker, according to the National Maritime Museum in the United Kingdom. Only 24 of the 4,317 Doa passengers survived. By contrast, 1,500 perished in the sinking of the Titanic in 1912.

 
MARINE DISASTERS, 2016 (1)

 

Category Number of events Victims Insured losses ($ millions)
Passenger ships 19 1,530 $0
Drilling platforms 9 0 1,944
Tankers 5 66 98
Other maritime accidents 3 0 420
Total 36 1,596 $2,463

(1) Based on events classified by Swiss Re as a catastrophe. The threshold for a maritime disaster is $19.9 million in insured losses or total losses of $99.0 million; or at least 20 dead or missing, 50 injured or 2,000 made homeless.

Source: Swiss Re, sigma, No. 2/2017.

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Energy

Some 167 crew members lost their lives in a July, 1988 fire and explosion aboard the Piper Alpha oil platform in the North Sea. The incident, which caused property damage losses of $1.8 billion in 2013 dollars, represents the largest single property damage event in a Marsh’s study of losses in the energy industry from 1972 to 2013.

 

 
Top 20 World Property Damage Losses In The Hydrocarbon Industry (1)

(US $ millions)

Rank Date Plant type Event type Location Country Property loss (2)
1 Jul. 7, 1988 Upstream Explosion/fire Piper Alpha, North Sea U.K. $1,810
2 Oct. 23,1989 Petrochem Vapour cloud explosion Pasadena, Texas U.S. 1,400
3 Jan. 19, 2004 Gas processing Explosion/fire Skikda Algeria 940
4 Jun. 4, 2009 Upstream Collision Norwegian Sector North Sea 840
5 Mar. 19, 1989 Upstream Explosion/fire Gulf of Mexico U.S. 830
6 Jun. 25, 2000 Refinery Explosion/fire Mina Al-Ahmadi Kuwait 820
7 May 15, 2001 Upstream Explosion/fire/sinking Campos Basin Brasil 790
8 Sep. 25, 1998 Gas processing Explosion Longford, Victoria Australia 750
9 Apr. 24, 1988 Upstream Blowout Enchova, Campos Basin Brazil 700
10 Sep. 21, 2001 Petrochemical Explosion Toulouse France 680
11 May 4, 1988 Petrochemical Explosion Henderson, Nevada U.S. 640
12 May 5, 1988 Refinery Vapour cloud explosion Norco, Louisiana U.S. 610
13 Mar. 11, 2011  Refinery Earthquake (3) Sendai Japan 600
14 Apr. 21, 2010 Upstream Blowout/explosion/fire Gulf of Mexico U.S. 600
15 Sep. 12, 2008 Refinery Hurricane Texas U.S. 550
16 Jun. 13, 2013 Petrochemical Explosion/fire Geismar, Louisiana U.S. 510
17 Apr. 2, 2013 Refinery Flooding/fire La Plata, Ensenada Argentina 500 (4)
18 Dec. 25, 1997 Gas processing Explosion/fire Bintulu, Sarawak Malaysia 490
19 Jul. 27, 2005 Upstream Collision/fire Mumbai High North Field India 480
20 Nov. 14, 1987 Petrochemical Vapour cloud explosion Pampa, Texas USA 480

(1) Property damage, debris removal and clean-up costs.
(2) Inflated to December 2013 values.
(3) Loss to refinery following the Tohuku earthquake.
(4) Preliminary.

Source: Energy Practice, Marsh & McLennan Companies.

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Large loss fires

The charts below show the costliest large-loss fires, many of which involve industrial facilities and other non-residential structures. The rankings are based on property loss data from the National Fire Protection Association.

 

 
Top 10 Costliest Large-Loss Fires, 2015

($ millions)

Rank Month State Type of facility Estimated loss
1 September California Wildland urban interface fire $1,500.0
2 September California Wildland urban interface fire 450.0
3 April Kentucky Appliance parts warehouse 110.0
4 April Nebraska Military fighter jet 62.0
5 March Pennsylvania Glass manufacturing plant 55.0
6 June Pennsylvania Fertilizer manufacturing plant 40.0
7 July California Church 31.0
8 September California Silk screening product plant 31.0
9 March Idaho Grain processing plant 24.0
10 August Washington Wildland urban interface fire          22.0

Source: Reproduced with permission from Large-Loss Fires in the United States, 2015 by Stephen G. Badger, ©National Fire Protection Association. www.nfpa.org/research/reports-and-statistics.

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Top 10 Costliest Large-Loss Fires In U.S. History

($ millions)

      Estimated loss (1)
Rank Date Location/event Dollars when occurred In 2015 dollars (2)
1 Sep. 11, 2001 World Trade Center (terrorist attacks) $33,400 (3) $44,770 (3)
2 Apr. 18, 1906 San Francisco Earthquake and Fire 350 9,160
3 Oct. 8-9, 1871 Great Chicago Fire 168 3,360
4 Oct. 20, 1991 Oakland, CA, firestorm 1,500 2,650
5 Oct. 20, 2007 San Diego County, CA, The Southern California Firestorm 1,800 2,030
6 Nov. 9, 1872 Great Boston Fire 75 1,530
7 Sep. 12, 2015 Valley Fire, CA, wildland urban interface fire 1,500 1,500
8 Oct. 23, 1989 Pasadena, Texas, polyolefin plant 750 1,420
9 May 4, 2000 Los Alamos, NM, Cerro Grande wildland fire 1,000 1,420
10 Oct. 25, 2003 Julian, CA, Cedar wildland fire  1,100 1,320

(1) Loss estimates are from National Fire Protection Association (NFPA) records. The list is limited to fires for which some reliable dollar loss estimates exists.
(2) Adjustment to 2013 dollars made by the NFPA using the Consumer Price Index, including the U.S. Census Bureau's estimates of the index for historical times; adjusted to 2015 dollars by the Insurance Information Institute using the Bureau of Labor Statistics Inflation Calculator.
(3) Differs from inflation-adjusted estimates made by other organizations due to the use of different deflators.

Source: Reproduced with permission from Large-Loss Fires in the United States, 2015 by Stephen G. Badger, ©National Fire Protection Association. www.nfpa.org/research/reports-and-statistics.

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