Facts + Statistics: Mortality risk

 
Gun deaths and injuries

The number of U.S. deaths by firearms, which are defined as the types of guns that can be carried by a person, is higher than the number of Americans killed in motor vehicle crashes. In 2019 about 39,707 people died by firearms, basically unchanged from 39,740 deaths in 2018. In contrast, according to latest data from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, 36,096 people died in U.S. motor vehicle crashes in 2019. (See data here.)

 
The COVID-19 pandemic

In February 2020 a new mortality risk emerged. The novel coronavirus disease 2019, known as COVID-19, was officially identified by the World Health Organization (WHO). The first outbreak was detected in Wuhan, China, in January 2020. Symptoms of the disease generally include mild to severe respiratory illness with fever, cough, and difficulty breathing, although some who contract the virus may be asymptomatic and contagious. By April the virus had spread to every continent except Antarctica. Between January 2020 and January 9, 2022, the WHO reported that there were 298 million cases worldwide, and 5.5 million people had died from the virus. Updates from the WHO can be found here.

In the United States the first confirmed case of COVID-19 infection was reported on January 20, 2020 in Snohomish County, Washington. By April, the virus was reported in all 50 states and most territories. According to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, between January 21, 2020 and January 9, 2022 there were 59 million cases of COVID-19 in the United States and the virus had claimed 834,000 lives. Daily updates can be found here. COVID-19 deaths in the United States have surpassed the number of deaths caused by the 1918 Flu Pandemic, which killed an estimated 675,000 Americans.

 
Major causes of death

 
Top 10 Leading Causes of Death, 2020

 

Rank (1) Cause of death Number of
deaths
Rate (2)
1 Heart disease 696,962 168.2
2 Malignant neoplasms (cancer) 602,350 144.1
3 COVID-19 350,831 85.0
4 Accidents (unintentional injuries) 200,955 57.6
5 Cerebrovascular diseases (stroke) 160,264 38.8
6 Chronic lower respiratory diseases 152,657 36.4
7 Alzheimer's disease 134,242 32.4
8 Diabetes 102,188 24.8
9 Influenza and pneumonia 53,544 13.0
10 Kidney disease 52,547 12.7
  All other causes 877,189 NA
  All deaths 3,383,729 835.4

(1) Based on number of deaths.                
(2) Deaths per 100,000 U.S. standard population.    

NA=Not applicable.

Source: National Center for Health Statistics, National Vital Statistics System, Mortality.

View Archived Tables

COVID-19 was added as the third leading cause of death in 2020, according to the latest year for which final data exists from the National Center for Health Statistics. Heart disease continues to be the leading cause of death in the United States, accounting for 696,962 fatalities in 2020, followed by cancer with 602,350 deaths. The 10 leading causes of death accounted for 74.1 percent of all deaths in the United States in 2020, as shown in the chart above.

 
Odds of dying from accidental injuries

The chart below shows the likelihood, or odds, of dying as a result of a specific type of accident. The odds of dying over a one-year period are based on the U.S. population as a whole, not on participants in any particular activity or on how dangerous that activity may be. For example, more people are killed in auto accidents than in motorcycle accidents or airplane crashes, not because riding a motorcycle or traveling in an airplane is more or less dangerous, but because far more people travel by car. Drug poisoning is the leading cause of injury death in the United States. The lifetime chances of dying from accidental drug poisoning were one in 67 in 2019, compared with one in 632 in a car accident and one in 138,849 for fatal injuries caused by lightning.

 
Odds Of Death In The United States By Selected Cause Of Injury, 2019 (1)

 

  Number of deaths, 2019 One-year odds Lifetime odds
Accidental poisoning by
and exposure to
noxious substances (2)
65,773 4,990 63
     Drug poisoning 62,172 5,280 67
     Opioids (including both
legal and illegal)
45,489 7,216 92
All motor vehicle accidents 39,107 8,393 107
     Car occupants 6,589 49,816 632
     Pedestrians 7,668 42,806 543
     Motorcycle riders 4,635 70,818 899
Assault by firearm 14,414 22,772 289
Exposure to smoke,
fire and flames
2,692 121,931 1,547
Fall on and from stairs
and steps
2,521 130,202 1,652
Drowning and submersion
hile in or falling into
swimming pool
747 439,410 5,576
Fall on and from ladder
or scaffolding
563 583,019 7,399
Firearms discharge
(accidental)
486 675,390 8,571
Air and space transport
accidents
441 744,307 9,446
Cataclysmic storm (3) 71 4,623,092 58,669
Flood 34 9,654,104 122,514
Bitten or struck by dog 48 6,838,323 86,781
Earthquake and other
earth movements
32 10,257,485 130,171
Lightning 30 10,941,317 138,849

(1) Based on fatalities and life expectancy in 2019. Ranked by deaths in 2019.
(2) Includes all types of medications including narcotics and hallucinogens, alcohol and gases.
(3) Includes hurricanes, tornadoes, blizzards, dust storms and other cataclysmic storms.

Source: National Center for Health Statistics; National Safety Council.

View Archived Tables

  • The odds of dying from an injury in 2019 were 1 in 1,306 according to the latest data available.
  • The lifetime odds of dying from an injury for a person born in 2019 were 1 in 17.
  • The odds of dying from a drug poisoning of any kind were 1 in 5,280 in 2019; the lifetime odds were 1 in 67 for a person born in 2019.

 
 

 
The opioid crisis

Opioid abuse and addiction is recognized as a significant public health problem in the United States. Drug overdose, from prescription and illegal drugs combined, is the leading cause of injury death in the United States. Between 2000 and 2020 deaths from drug overdoses increased more than four-fold from 17,415 in 2000 to 91,799 in 2020, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). In 2020 drug overdose deaths rose 30 percent from 2019 to 91,799. Opioid analgesics, a group of prescription drugs that are used to alleviate chronic and acute pain, have been increasingly involved in the rise of drug overdose deaths over the same period. In 2000 there were 8,407 deaths attributed to opioids of all kinds, with prescription drugs and illegal drugs such as heroin, accounting for about half of all drug overdose deaths. By 2020 that proportion had grown to 75 percent. Heroin alone accounted for 14 percent of all drug overdose deaths in 2020.

 

 

 

View Archived Graphs

 
Top 10 States By Drug Poisoning Deaths and Death Rates, 2019 (1)

 

  By number of deaths   By deaths per 100,000 people
Rank State Number of
deaths
Deaths per
100,000 people
Rank State Number of
deaths
Deaths per
100,000 people
1 California 6,198 15.0 1 West Virginia 870 52.8
2 Florida 5,268 25.5 2 Delaware 435 48.0
3 Pennsylvania 4,377 35.6 3 District of Columbia 311 43.2
4 Ohio 4,251 38.3 4 Ohio 4,251 38.3
5 New York 3,617 18.2 5 Maryland 2,369 38.2
6 Texas 3,136 10.8 6 Pennsylvania 4,377 35.6
7 New Jersey 2,805 31.7 7 Connecticut 1,214 34.7
8 Illinois 2,790 21.9 8 Kentucky 1,380 32.5
9 Michigan 2,385 24.4 9 Massachusetts 2,210 32.1
10 Maryland 2,369 38.2 10 New Hampshire 407 32.0

(1) Drug overdose caused by prescription and illegal drugs.

Source: National Center for Health Statistics.

In 2019 California and Florida had the most drug overdose deaths, 6,200 and 5,300, respectively. When ranked by the rate of death per 100,000 people, West Virginia ranked first with 52.8 deaths per 100,000 people followed by Delaware with 48.0 deaths per 100,000 people. From April 2020 to April 2021, California and Florida had the most drug overdose deaths, 10,500 and 7,900 respectively. Vermont had the highest percentage increase, 69.9 percent, according to preliminary data from the Centers for Disease Control.

Many states and municipalities have filed lawsuits against the pharmaceutical companies that they hold responsible for the current opioid epidemic. The lawsuits attempt to seek reimbursement for healthcare expenses, substance abuse treatment, social services, court and correctional expenses and other costs resulting from opioid abuse. In 2018 around 2,300 lawsuits against opioid manufacturers, distributors and pharmacies were consolidated under one federal judge. The plaintiffs included almost 200 municipal governments, all pursuing reimbursement for the costs of drug addiction and its collateral damage.

One case, the State of Oklahoma v. Purdue Pharma, was settled in March 2019 as the company and its owners, the Sackler family, ultimately agreed to pay $270 million. This was the first class-action settlement related to opioid litigation. The company declared bankruptcy in September. In October 2020 Purdue Pharma pled guilty to three criminal charges brought by the U.S. Justice Department for conspiracy to defraud the United States, violate an anti-kickback law and false representation. The company faces more than $8 billion in financial penalties. Sackler family members who own Purdue Pharma said they would provide $4.275 billion to help settle about 3,000 lawsuits brought by U.S. communities seeking to hold them and Purdue responsible for damage from its product, OxyContin. The offer was included in a bankruptcy restructuring plan, which blocked further civil litigation but does not release the Sacklers from criminal investigation. Among its provisions the plan would have created a new company whose revenues would be devoted exclusively to alleviating the addiction epidemic caused by its product. In December 2021, a federal judge rejected the plan because it would shield the Sacklers from civil litigation on the grounds that federal bankruptcy statutes do not allow a bankruptcy judge to grant such a block. Purdue Pharma appealed the decision, but on January 3, 2022, a U.S. judge ordered the company and Sackler family members along with nine states to enter mediation through January 14, 2022. If no agreement is reached at that time, the appeal will be allowed to continue.

In October 2019 the court of the Northern District of Ohio was set to try three consolidated Ohio lawsuits in a test case against four entities—three distributors and one manufacturer. The case was ultimately settled for $260 million, with the money designated to help fight opioid addiction.

In 2020, an estimated 2.7 million people in the United States had an opioid use disorder in the past 12 months, including 2.3 people with a prescription opioid use disorder, according to the National Institute on Drug Abuse.

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